AV2-F6-03 — ATR-anchored trail

av2 / AV2-F6-03

preregistered challengerPRE-REGISTERED

Pre-registered challenger of F6, declared before any AV2 backtest ran. No stage has been run and no result exists.

Lifecycle

current

Outcome

—

Phase

none

Research gate

—

Engine

preregistration only

Market

—

Timeframe

—

Side

—

Tracking

Family, lineage and what this record needs next

Mechanism family

Unclassified

Mechanism parent

Phase detail

Pre-registered only — no phase entered.

Next required test

Its pre-registered ladder's first stage (no stage has run).

Integrity & certification

Signals as recorded; NOT_PASSED means not passed or not applicable

Engine certified

unknown

Execution certified

unknown

Integrity audit

unknown

Shadow verifier

unknown

Technical invalidation

None recorded.

Artifacts

Everything committed for this record

AV2 pre-registration

research-output/av2-planning/AV2_1_PREREGISTRATION.md

Evidence recorded

Nothing has been run — no metric may be shown for a pre-registered item

No stage evidence exists for this entry. It is pre-registered only: nothing has been run, and no metric may be shown for it.

Read from research-output/av2-planning/AV2_1_PREREGISTRATION.md

Lineage

Declared in the pre-registration

Relation to prior work

preregistered challenger

Parent

Note

ratchet step = 0.5 × ATR(14,5M) at entry rather than 0.5 × initial risk

Pre-registration

Declared before any result was seen; no result exists yet

Champion

Declared change

ratchet step = 0.5 × ATR(14,5M) at entry rather than 0.5 × initial risk

Alters

exit only

Declared overfitting risk

LOW — mechanistic discrimination, not a search

Constraint

A challenger is a separately versioned descendant, never an in-place edit of the champion. Surviving Holdout prepares it for champion-vs-challenger shadow; it does not replace the champion.

Read from research-output/av2-planning/AV2_1_PREREGISTRATION.md