Strategies
One canonical inventory of every strategy TradeRep has tested, across both campaign engines, plus the prospective live-shadow candidates and the pre-registered AV2 items that have not run. Every row carries its mechanism family, market, timeframe, research gate, Phase A/B/C state, metrics, exact stop reason and integrity signals — and links to a record page with its full history. Nothing here re-decides a verdict: stage labels are the campaign runner’s own, quoted.
DashboardResearch Status (card view)Live AuditResearch History
research-output/strategy-factory/) is not in this checkout, so A6+ campaigns are not listed below. That is a missing-artifact condition, not a finding: those campaigns are produced by the multi-market research lane and appear here as soon as their artifacts are present.All strategies
10 of 10 shown| Strategy | Family | Campaign | Market · TF · side | Phase | Gate | Outcome | Screen n | Screen exp | Val exp | Holdout | Stop reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A2.10 — Final-Hour Reversion v2 a2-final-hour-reversion-v2runner armed | Session / time-of-day a2-final-hour-reversion-v2 | a2 strategy lab | MNQ MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH | Phase B | FINAL_AUDIT | LIVE SHADOW | 451 | +0.302R | +0.409R | +0.260R · n=100 | Survived Holdout but the Final Research Audit flagged unresolved risk(s): Holdout expectancy diverges materially from Validation's own -- treat as a fresh, not fully explained, open question.. |
| a2-a12-short-efficiency-ratio-momentum a2-a12-short-efficiency-ratio-momentum | Momentum / trend a2-a12-short-efficiency-ratio-momentum | a2 strategy lab | MNQ MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH | Phase A | EXECUTION_STAT | fail | 3,690 | +0.049R | — | — | Execution+Statistical Gate: Bootstrap 95% CI [-0.0054, 0.0992]R includes zero -- the raw edge is not statistically distinguishable from noise at this sample size. |
| a2-bb-keltner-squeeze-release a2-bb-keltner-squeeze-release | Volatility expansion / contraction a1-bb-keltner-squeeze-release | a2 strategy lab | MNQ MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH | Phase A | LIGHTNING | fail | 954 | -0.004R | — | — | Lightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.0042R over 954 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.994), with 3/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign. |
| a2-failed-trend-persistence a2-failed-trend-persistence | Momentum / trend a2-failed-trend-persistence | a2 strategy lab | MNQ MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH | Phase A | LIGHTNING | fail | 906 | -0.078R | — | — | Lightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.0784R over 906 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.887), with 4/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign. |
| a2-range-expansion-asymmetry a2-range-expansion-asymmetry | Volatility expansion / contraction a2-range-expansion-asymmetry | a2 strategy lab | MNQ MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH | Phase A | LIGHTNING | fail | 70,219 | +0.003R | — | — | Lightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.0034R) but 1/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign, below the 60% bar for a reasonably consistent result. |
| a2-realized-vol-regime-switch a2-realized-vol-regime-switch | Regime-conditioned a2-realized-vol-regime-switch | a2 strategy lab | MNQ MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH | Phase A | LIGHTNING | fail | 14,652 | -0.011R | — | — | Lightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.0107R over 14652 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.984), with 3/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign. |
| a2-variance-ratio-persistence a2-variance-ratio-persistence | Regime-conditioned a2-variance-ratio-persistence | a2 strategy lab | MNQ MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH | Phase A | EXECUTION_STAT | fail | 57,019 | +0.006R | — | — | Execution+Statistical Gate: Bootstrap 95% CI [-0.0057, 0.0191]R includes zero -- the raw edge is not statistically distinguishable from noise at this sample size. |
| a2-volume-climax-exhaustion a2-volume-climax-exhaustion | Order flow / aggressor imbalance a1-volume-climax-exhaustion | a2 strategy lab | MNQ MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH | Phase A | LIGHTNING | fail | 1,201 | +0.027R | — | — | Lightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.0266R) but the top 10 winning trades alone account for 62.5% of total R -- the apparent edge is fragile. |
| a2-volume-price-divergence-failure a2-volume-price-divergence-failure | Order flow / aggressor imbalance a1-volume-price-divergence-failure | a2 strategy lab | MNQ MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH | Phase A | LIGHTNING | fail | 12,064 | +0.002R | — | — | Lightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.0021R) but the top 10 winning trades alone account for 77.3% of total R -- the apparent edge is fragile. |
| a2-volume-shock-follow-through a2-volume-shock-follow-through | Order flow / aggressor imbalance a1-volume-shock-follow-through | a2 strategy lab | MNQ MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH | Phase A | LIGHTNING | fail | 3,456 | +0.049R | — | — | Lightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.0487R) but 2/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign, below the 60% bar for a reasonably consistent result. |
Read from research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/*/campaign_state.json · research-output/strategy-factory/campaigns/*/report.json · research-output/registry/mechanism-families.json · lib/liveStatus/strategyRoster.ts
Campaigns
Both engines, newest lastResearch rules in force
Roadmap Part 0 — quoted, not restated- ✕Merge strategy/research branches into main without explicit approval.
- ✕Alter approved/frozen V1 strategy semantics without explicit approval.
- ✕Promote any research result into V1 automatically.
- ✕Change live READY behavior based on unvalidated research.
- ✕Change risk sizing in production.
- ✕Rewrite historical results.
- ✕Reuse discovery data and later present it as unseen validation.
- ✕Quietly discard failed/negative experiments.
- ✕Optimize only for win rate.
- ✕Invent new strategy mechanics because a test performed poorly.
- ✕Skip, disable, or hide a failed replication.
Any strategy-affecting proposal stops at CANDIDATE RULE — HUMAN REVIEW REQUIRED. Research may continue around it; the candidate itself is never promoted automatically.
Read from docs/TRADE_RESEARCH_ROADMAP.md
Holdout policy
One-shot, sealed, chronological, never retried1,079,881 sealed MNQ candles (2019-05-05..2022-06-02), handed out one chronological slice at a time and frozen before evaluation. 4 Holdout(s) spent. 0 strategies are Holdout-eligible and awaiting explicit human authorisation — nothing in this UI can grant it. Full state on the Monitor.
Read from research-output/strategy-lab/sealed-holdout-bank/SEALED_holdout_bank_manifest.json