Strategies

Strategies

One canonical inventory of every strategy TradeRep has tested, across both campaign engines, plus the prospective live-shadow candidates and the pre-registered AV2 items that have not run. Every row carries its mechanism family, market, timeframe, research gate, Phase A/B/C state, metrics, exact stop reason and integrity signals — and links to a record page with its full history. Nothing here re-decides a verdict: stage labels are the campaign runner’s own, quoted.

DashboardResearch Status (card view)Live AuditResearch History

Current
13
Completed
58
Passed
0
Failed
51
Nominal tests
59
Unique strategies
59
Effective independent
The Strategy Factory artifact tree (research-output/strategy-factory/) is not in this checkout, so A6+ campaigns are not listed below. That is a missing-artifact condition, not a finding: those campaigns are produced by the multi-market research lane and appear here as soon as their artifacts are present.

Completed strategies

9 of 9 shown
StrategyFamilyCampaignMarket · TF · sidePhaseGateOutcomeScreen nScreen expVal expHoldoutStop reason
a2-a12-short-efficiency-ratio-momentum
a2-a12-short-efficiency-ratio-momentum
Momentum / trend
a2-a12-short-efficiency-ratio-momentum
a2
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase AEXECUTION_STATfail3,690+0.049RExecution+Statistical Gate: Bootstrap 95% CI [-0.0054, 0.0992]R includes zero -- the raw edge is not statistically distinguishable from noise at this sample size.
a2-bb-keltner-squeeze-release
a2-bb-keltner-squeeze-release
Volatility expansion / contraction
a1-bb-keltner-squeeze-release
a2
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail954-0.004RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.0042R over 954 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.994), with 3/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign.
a2-failed-trend-persistence
a2-failed-trend-persistence
Momentum / trend
a2-failed-trend-persistence
a2
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail906-0.078RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.0784R over 906 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.887), with 4/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign.
a2-range-expansion-asymmetry
a2-range-expansion-asymmetry
Volatility expansion / contraction
a2-range-expansion-asymmetry
a2
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail70,219+0.003RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.0034R) but 1/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign, below the 60% bar for a reasonably consistent result.
a2-realized-vol-regime-switch
a2-realized-vol-regime-switch
Regime-conditioned
a2-realized-vol-regime-switch
a2
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail14,652-0.011RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.0107R over 14652 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.984), with 3/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign.
a2-variance-ratio-persistence
a2-variance-ratio-persistence
Regime-conditioned
a2-variance-ratio-persistence
a2
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase AEXECUTION_STATfail57,019+0.006RExecution+Statistical Gate: Bootstrap 95% CI [-0.0057, 0.0191]R includes zero -- the raw edge is not statistically distinguishable from noise at this sample size.
a2-volume-climax-exhaustion
a2-volume-climax-exhaustion
Order flow / aggressor imbalance
a1-volume-climax-exhaustion
a2
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail1,201+0.027RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.0266R) but the top 10 winning trades alone account for 62.5% of total R -- the apparent edge is fragile.
a2-volume-price-divergence-failure
a2-volume-price-divergence-failure
Order flow / aggressor imbalance
a1-volume-price-divergence-failure
a2
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail12,064+0.002RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.0021R) but the top 10 winning trades alone account for 77.3% of total R -- the apparent edge is fragile.
a2-volume-shock-follow-through
a2-volume-shock-follow-through
Order flow / aggressor imbalance
a1-volume-shock-follow-through
a2
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail3,456+0.049RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.0487R) but 2/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign, below the 60% bar for a reasonably consistent result.

Read from research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/*/campaign_state.json · research-output/strategy-factory/campaigns/*/report.json · research-output/registry/mechanism-families.json · lib/liveStatus/strategyRoster.ts

Campaigns

Both engines, newest last
CampaignEngineStateSubmittedPassedEffective testsHoldout openedMarkets
a0labCLOSED500MNQ
a1labCLOSED1001MNQ
a2labCLOSED1001MNQ
a3labCLOSED1002MNQ
a4labCLOSED500MNQ
a5labCLOSED1900MNQ

Research rules in force

Roadmap Part 0 — quoted, not restated
  • Merge strategy/research branches into main without explicit approval.
  • Alter approved/frozen V1 strategy semantics without explicit approval.
  • Promote any research result into V1 automatically.
  • Change live READY behavior based on unvalidated research.
  • Change risk sizing in production.
  • Rewrite historical results.
  • Reuse discovery data and later present it as unseen validation.
  • Quietly discard failed/negative experiments.
  • Optimize only for win rate.
  • Invent new strategy mechanics because a test performed poorly.
  • Skip, disable, or hide a failed replication.

Any strategy-affecting proposal stops at CANDIDATE RULE — HUMAN REVIEW REQUIRED. Research may continue around it; the candidate itself is never promoted automatically.

Read from docs/TRADE_RESEARCH_ROADMAP.md

Holdout policy

One-shot, sealed, chronological, never retried

1,079,881 sealed MNQ candles (2019-05-05..2022-06-02), handed out one chronological slice at a time and frozen before evaluation. 4 Holdout(s) spent. 0 strategies are Holdout-eligible and awaiting explicit human authorisation — nothing in this UI can grant it. Full state on the Monitor.

Read from research-output/strategy-lab/sealed-holdout-bank/SEALED_holdout_bank_manifest.json