Strategies

Strategies

One canonical inventory of every strategy TradeRep has tested, across both campaign engines, plus the prospective live-shadow candidates and the pre-registered AV2 items that have not run. Every row carries its mechanism family, market, timeframe, research gate, Phase A/B/C state, metrics, exact stop reason and integrity signals — and links to a record page with its full history. Nothing here re-decides a verdict: stage labels are the campaign runner’s own, quoted.

DashboardResearch Status (card view)Live AuditResearch History

Current
13
Completed
58
Passed
0
Failed
51
Nominal tests
59
Unique strategies
59
Effective independent
The Strategy Factory artifact tree (research-output/strategy-factory/) is not in this checkout, so A6+ campaigns are not listed below. That is a missing-artifact condition, not a finding: those campaigns are produced by the multi-market research lane and appear here as soon as their artifacts are present.

All strategies

10 of 10 shown
StrategyFamilyCampaignMarket · TF · sidePhaseGateOutcomeScreen nScreen expVal expHoldoutStop reason
a3-arm-c-volume-confirmed-continuation
a3-arm-c-volume-confirmed-continuation
Breakout / failed breakout
a3-arm-c-volume-confirmed-continuation
a3
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail755+0.108RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.1081R) but 2/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign, below the 60% bar for a reasonably consistent result.
A3.8 — Failed Expansion Continuation
a3-failed-expansion-continuation
Volatility expansion / contraction
a3-failed-expansion-continuation
a3
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase AHOLDOUTfail3,166+0.064R+0.083R-0.220R · n=100Holdout: n=100, expectancy=-0.2200R -- did not confirm the prior evidence.
a3-gap-acceptance-rejection
a3-gap-acceptance-rejection
Overnight / prior-day structure
a3-gap-acceptance-rejection
a3
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail476+0.092RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.0924R) but 2/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign, below the 60% bar for a reasonably consistent result.
a3-multi-session-trend-persistence
a3-multi-session-trend-persistence
Momentum / trend
a3-multi-session-trend-persistence
a3
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail49-0.060RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.0600R is negative/flat, and the sign is inconsistent across years (0/1 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign).
a3-path-disorder-regime-shift
a3-path-disorder-regime-shift
Regime-conditioned
a3-path-disorder-regime-shift
a3
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase AEXECUTION_STATfail1,012+0.071RExecution+Statistical Gate: Bootstrap 95% CI [-0.0130, 0.1685]R includes zero -- the raw edge is not statistically distinguishable from noise at this sample size.
a3-pb-elite-volume-confirmed-displacement
a3-pb-elite-volume-confirmed-displacement
Market structure / FVG / liquidity
a3-pb-elite-volume-confirmed-displacement
a3
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase AEXECUTION_STATfail799+0.089RExecution+Statistical Gate: Bootstrap 95% CI [-0.0012, 0.1970]R includes zero -- the raw edge is not statistically distinguishable from noise at this sample size.
a3-range-location-volume-interaction
a3-range-location-volume-interaction
Auction / value profile
a3-range-location-volume-interaction
a3
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail24,675-0.005RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.0052R over 24675 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.992), with 3/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign.
a3-semivariance-imbalance
a3-semivariance-imbalance
Volatility expansion / contraction
a3-semivariance-imbalance
a3
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase AEXECUTION_STATretired9,682+0.035RExecution+Statistical Gate: Survives the bootstrap CI and 0.25pt slippage but turns negative at 0.5pt (a realistic execution cost for this instrument) -- not a clean pass.
a3-vol-of-vol-transition
a3-vol-of-vol-transition
Volatility expansion / contraction
a3-vol-of-vol-transition
a3
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase AEXECUTION_STATfail13,541+0.018RExecution+Statistical Gate: Bootstrap 95% CI [-0.0072, 0.0433]R includes zero -- the raw edge is not statistically distinguishable from noise at this sample size.
A3.3 — Volume Acceleration Momentum
a3-volume-acceleration-momentum
Order flow / aggressor imbalance
a3-volume-acceleration-momentum
a3
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase AHOLDOUTfail4,817+0.061R+0.065R-0.110R · n=100Holdout: n=100, expectancy=-0.1100R -- did not confirm the prior evidence.

Read from research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/*/campaign_state.json · research-output/strategy-factory/campaigns/*/report.json · research-output/registry/mechanism-families.json · lib/liveStatus/strategyRoster.ts

Campaigns

Both engines, newest last
CampaignEngineStateSubmittedPassedEffective testsHoldout openedMarkets
a0labCLOSED500MNQ
a1labCLOSED1001MNQ
a2labCLOSED1001MNQ
a3labCLOSED1002MNQ
a4labCLOSED500MNQ
a5labCLOSED1900MNQ

Research rules in force

Roadmap Part 0 — quoted, not restated
  • Merge strategy/research branches into main without explicit approval.
  • Alter approved/frozen V1 strategy semantics without explicit approval.
  • Promote any research result into V1 automatically.
  • Change live READY behavior based on unvalidated research.
  • Change risk sizing in production.
  • Rewrite historical results.
  • Reuse discovery data and later present it as unseen validation.
  • Quietly discard failed/negative experiments.
  • Optimize only for win rate.
  • Invent new strategy mechanics because a test performed poorly.
  • Skip, disable, or hide a failed replication.

Any strategy-affecting proposal stops at CANDIDATE RULE — HUMAN REVIEW REQUIRED. Research may continue around it; the candidate itself is never promoted automatically.

Read from docs/TRADE_RESEARCH_ROADMAP.md

Holdout policy

One-shot, sealed, chronological, never retried

1,079,881 sealed MNQ candles (2019-05-05..2022-06-02), handed out one chronological slice at a time and frozen before evaluation. 4 Holdout(s) spent. 0 strategies are Holdout-eligible and awaiting explicit human authorisation — nothing in this UI can grant it. Full state on the Monitor.

Read from research-output/strategy-lab/sealed-holdout-bank/SEALED_holdout_bank_manifest.json