Strategies

Strategies

One canonical inventory of every strategy TradeRep has tested, across both campaign engines, plus the prospective live-shadow candidates and the pre-registered AV2 items that have not run. Every row carries its mechanism family, market, timeframe, research gate, Phase A/B/C state, metrics, exact stop reason and integrity signals — and links to a record page with its full history. Nothing here re-decides a verdict: stage labels are the campaign runner’s own, quoted.

DashboardResearch Status (card view)Live AuditResearch History

Current
13
Completed
58
Passed
0
Failed
51
Nominal tests
59
Unique strategies
59
Effective independent
The Strategy Factory artifact tree (research-output/strategy-factory/) is not in this checkout, so A6+ campaigns are not listed below. That is a missing-artifact condition, not a finding: those campaigns are produced by the multi-market research lane and appear here as soon as their artifacts are present.

Completed strategies

19 of 19 shown
StrategyFamilyCampaignMarket · TF · sidePhaseGateOutcomeScreen nScreen expVal expHoldoutStop reason
a5-01-volatility-acceleration-continuation
a5-01-volatility-acceleration-continuation
Volatility expansion / contraction
a5-01-volatility-acceleration-continuation
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail102+0.118RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.1176R) but the top 10 winning trades alone account for 166.7% of total R -- the apparent edge is fragile.
a5-02-price-per-volume-vacuum-continuation
a5-02-price-per-volume-vacuum-continuation
Order flow / aggressor imbalance
a5-02-price-per-volume-vacuum-continuation
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLCV · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail5,259-0.006RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.0057R over 5259 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.991), with 2/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign.
a5-03-price-per-volume-vacuum-reversal
a5-03-price-per-volume-vacuum-reversal
Order flow / aggressor imbalance
a5-03-price-per-volume-vacuum-reversal
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLCV · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail138-0.174RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.1739R over 138 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.760), with 4/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign.
a5-04-opening-inventory-rejection
a5-04-opening-inventory-rejection
Session / time-of-day
a5-04-opening-inventory-rejection
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail58-0.184RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.1845R over 58 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.742), with 2/3 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign.
a5-05-overnight-reversion-failure
a5-05-overnight-reversion-failure
Overnight / prior-day structure
a5-05-overnight-reversion-failure
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail32+0.084RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.0843R) but the top 10 winning trades alone account for 1100.9% of total R -- the apparent edge is fragile.
a5-06-vwap-displacement-regime-switch
a5-06-vwap-displacement-regime-switch
Auction / value profile
a5-06-vwap-displacement-regime-switch
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLCV · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail458-0.096RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.0959R over 458 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.874), with 3/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign.
a5-07-compression-break-false-failure
a5-07-compression-break-false-failure
Breakout / failed breakout
a5-07-compression-break-false-failure
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail2,004-0.021RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.0210R over 2004 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.969), with 3/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign.
a5-08-session-handoff-continuation
a5-08-session-handoff-continuation
Session / time-of-day
a5-08-session-handoff-continuation
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase AROBUSTNESSfail169+0.239RRobustness Gauntlet: Removing the top 20 winning trades collapses expectancy from 0.2393R to 0.0029R (>70% reduction) -- the edge depends on a small number of outsized winners.
a5-09-premarket-or-confluence-break
a5-09-premarket-or-confluence-break
Breakout / failed breakout
a5-09-premarket-or-confluence-break
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail75+0.080RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.0800R) but the top 10 winning trades alone account for 333.3% of total R -- the apparent edge is fragile.
a5-10-expansion-staircase
a5-10-expansion-staircase
Volatility expansion / contraction
a5-10-expansion-staircase
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail45-0.200RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.2000R over 45 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.727), with no individual year reached the minimum sample to assess consistency.
a5-11-failed-mean-reversion-continuation
a5-11-failed-mean-reversion-continuation
Mean reversion
a5-11-failed-mean-reversion-continuation
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase AVALIDATIONfail6,900+0.058R+0.007RValidation Gate: Validation expectancy 0.0074R is less than 30% of Discovery's 0.0715R -- severe degradation.
a5-12-prior-day-extreme-acceptance
a5-12-prior-day-extreme-acceptance
Overnight / prior-day structure
a5-12-prior-day-extreme-acceptance
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail796+0.016RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.0160R) but the top 10 winning trades alone account for 156.7% of total R -- the apparent edge is fragile.
a5-13-prior-day-extreme-failed-acceptance
a5-13-prior-day-extreme-failed-acceptance
Overnight / prior-day structure
a5-13-prior-day-extreme-failed-acceptance
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail621+0.185RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.1854R) but the top 10 winning trades alone account for 121.4% of total R -- the apparent edge is fragile.
a5-14-impulse-pullback-velocity-asymmetry
a5-14-impulse-pullback-velocity-asymmetry
Momentum / trend
a5-14-impulse-pullback-velocity-asymmetry
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail3,105+0.005RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.0050R) but the top 10 winning trades alone account for 127.7% of total R -- the apparent edge is fragile.
a5-15-trend-embedded-compression
a5-15-trend-embedded-compression
Volatility expansion / contraction
a5-15-trend-embedded-compression
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase AEXECUTION_STATfail1,606+0.037RExecution+Statistical Gate: Bootstrap 95% CI [-0.0353, 0.1113]R includes zero -- the raw edge is not statistically distinguishable from noise at this sample size.
a5-16-round-number-magnetism
a5-16-round-number-magnetism
Market structure / FVG / liquidity
a5-16-round-number-magnetism
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail59+0.220RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy is positive (0.2203R) but the top 10 winning trades alone account for 153.8% of total R -- the apparent edge is fragile.
a5-17-run-length-vs-expectation
a5-17-run-length-vs-expectation
Regime-conditioned
a5-17-run-length-vs-expectation
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail6,946-0.053RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.0533R over 6946 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.922), with 4/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign.
a5-18-level-revisit-count
a5-18-level-revisit-count
Market structure / FVG / liquidity
a5-18-level-revisit-count
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase ALIGHTNINGfail24,941-0.036RLightning Screen: Aggregate expectancy -0.0356R over 24941 resolved trades is negative/flat (PF=0.947), with 4/4 qualifying years (n>=15) agree with the aggregate sign.
a5-19-inter-extreme-spacing
a5-19-inter-extreme-spacing
Market structure / FVG / liquidity
a5-19-inter-extreme-spacing
a5
strategy lab
MNQ
MNQ 1-minute OHLC · BOTH
Phase AVALIDATIONfail866+0.094R-0.022RValidation Gate: Discovery expectancy 0.1243R flips sign to -0.0225R on the untouched Validation split.

Read from research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/*/campaign_state.json · research-output/strategy-factory/campaigns/*/report.json · research-output/registry/mechanism-families.json · lib/liveStatus/strategyRoster.ts

Campaigns

Both engines, newest last
CampaignEngineStateSubmittedPassedEffective testsHoldout openedMarkets
a0labCLOSED500MNQ
a1labCLOSED1001MNQ
a2labCLOSED1001MNQ
a3labCLOSED1002MNQ
a4labCLOSED500MNQ
a5labCLOSED1900MNQ

Research rules in force

Roadmap Part 0 — quoted, not restated
  • Merge strategy/research branches into main without explicit approval.
  • Alter approved/frozen V1 strategy semantics without explicit approval.
  • Promote any research result into V1 automatically.
  • Change live READY behavior based on unvalidated research.
  • Change risk sizing in production.
  • Rewrite historical results.
  • Reuse discovery data and later present it as unseen validation.
  • Quietly discard failed/negative experiments.
  • Optimize only for win rate.
  • Invent new strategy mechanics because a test performed poorly.
  • Skip, disable, or hide a failed replication.

Any strategy-affecting proposal stops at CANDIDATE RULE — HUMAN REVIEW REQUIRED. Research may continue around it; the candidate itself is never promoted automatically.

Read from docs/TRADE_RESEARCH_ROADMAP.md

Holdout policy

One-shot, sealed, chronological, never retried

1,079,881 sealed MNQ candles (2019-05-05..2022-06-02), handed out one chronological slice at a time and frozen before evaluation. 4 Holdout(s) spent. 0 strategies are Holdout-eligible and awaiting explicit human authorisation — nothing in this UI can grant it. Full state on the Monitor.

Read from research-output/strategy-lab/sealed-holdout-bank/SEALED_holdout_bank_manifest.json