Research History

Every committed research program and every dated research event. This page enumerates the artifact tree rather than a curated list, so a campaign cannot become unreachable once attention moves on — and rejected work is as visible as surviving work, because the multiple-testing burden is counted per registered test.

Dashboard Strategies New Additions (components, not events)

Programs indexed

Strategy Lab campaigns

Strategy Factory campaigns

Other output programs

Dated events

194

Newest event

2026-09-17 02:54Z

No Strategy Factory campaign artifacts in this checkout — the A6+ campaigns are produced by the multi-market research lane and will be indexed here automatically once their artifacts are present.

Strategy Lab campaigns

6 indexed

Strategy Lab campaign A5Submitted: 19Rejected: 19Holdout opened: 0Data: MNQ 2022-06-03..2026-09-152026-09-17 02:54Z

19 pre-registered strategies, 0 Phase B candidate(s). Campaign CLOSED.

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a5/campaign_state.json

Strategy Lab campaign A3Submitted: 10Rejected: 9Holdout opened: 2Data: MNQ 2022-06-03..2026-09-152026-09-16 17:14Z

10 pre-registered strategies, 0 Phase B candidate(s). Campaign CLOSED.

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a3/campaign_state.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a3/A3_3_HOLDOUT_LEDGER.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a3/A3_3_HOLDOUT_RESULT_REPORT.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a3/A3_8_HOLDOUT_LEDGER.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a3/A3_8_HOLDOUT_RESULT_REPORT.json

Strategy Lab campaign A4Submitted: 5Rejected: 5Holdout opened: 0Data: MNQ 2022-06-03..2026-09-152026-09-16 14:02Z

5 pre-registered strategies, 0 Phase B candidate(s). Campaign CLOSED.

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a4/campaign_state.json

Strategy Lab campaign A2Submitted: 10Rejected: 9Holdout opened: 1Data: MNQ 2022-06-03..2026-09-152026-09-16 02:40Z

10 pre-registered strategies, 0 Phase B candidate(s). Campaign CLOSED.

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a2/campaign_state.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a2/A2_10_FROZEN_SPEC.md · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a2/A2_10_HOLDOUT_LEDGER.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a2/A2_10_HOLDOUT_RESULT_REPORT.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a2/A2_10_SHADOW_VALIDATION_REPORT.json

Strategy Lab campaign A1Submitted: 10Rejected: 4Holdout opened: 1Data: MNQ 2022-06-03..2026-09-152026-09-15 23:57Z

10 pre-registered strategies, 0 Phase B candidate(s). Campaign CLOSED.

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a1/campaign_state.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a1/A12_HOLDOUT_LEDGER.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a1/A12_HOLDOUT_RESULT_REPORT.json

Strategy Lab campaign A0Submitted: 5Rejected: 5Holdout opened: 0Data: MNQ 2022-06-03..2026-09-152026-09-15 17:55Z

5 pre-registered strategies, 0 Phase B candidate(s). Campaign CLOSED.

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a0/campaign_state.json

Research output programs

17 indexed

validation-campaignDocuments: 12026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/validation-campaign/session-manifest.json

phase2-mini-masterDocuments: 92026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/phase2-mini-master/ARM_C_CLASSIFICATION.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/F6_500_TRADE_GATE_AUDIT.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/HOLDOUT_PREREGISTRATION_F6_TRAIL0P5R_VS_FIXED2R.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/HOLDOUT_RESULTS_F6_TRAIL0P5R_VS_FIXED2R.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/OVERNIGHT_RANGE_CLASSIFICATION.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/PB_ELITE_CLASSIFICATION.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/PHASE2_FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/PHASE2_STRATEGY_REGISTRY.json · research-output/phase2-mini-master/pbelite_validation_check_raw_output.txt

phase3-mini-masterDocuments: 52026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/phase3-mini-master/PHASE3_ALLOCATOR_SPEC.md · research-output/phase3-mini-master/PHASE3_FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/phase3-mini-master/PHASE3_PORTFOLIO_CONFIG.json · research-output/phase3-mini-master/PHASE3_PORTFOLIO_RESULTS.json · research-output/phase3-mini-master/PHASE3_RISK_RESEARCH.md

phase4-mini-masterDocuments: 82026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_CAUSAL_AUDIT.md · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_FAILURE_INJECTION_RESULTS.json · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_FRESHNESS_SPEC.md · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_PREREGISTRATION.md · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_REMEDIATION_REPORT.md · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_REPLAY_LEDGER.json · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_STATE_MACHINE.md

phase5-live-shadowDocuments: 52026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/phase5-live-shadow/PHASE5_CHECKPOINTS.md · research-output/phase5-live-shadow/PHASE5_EXECUTION_TRACKING.md · research-output/phase5-live-shadow/PHASE5_LIVE_SHADOW_LEDGER.md · research-output/phase5-live-shadow/PHASE5_OPERATIONAL_HEALTH.md · research-output/phase5-live-shadow/PHASE5_STATUS.md

next105-campaignDocuments: 12026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/next105-campaign/session-manifest.json

oos21Documents: 12026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/oos21/session-manifest.json

pb-comprehensive-campaignDocuments: 42026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/pb-comprehensive-campaign/FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/pb-comprehensive-campaign/phase11_results.txt · research-output/pb-comprehensive-campaign/phase1to4_results.txt · research-output/pb-comprehensive-campaign/phase5to9_results.txt

phase1-mini-masterDocuments: 62026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/phase1-mini-master/MANIFEST_PHASE1_MINI_MASTER.md · research-output/phase1-mini-master/events_clock_a1_openclose.json · research-output/phase1-mini-master/events_clock_a2_rthmom.json · research-output/phase1-mini-master/events_clock_a3_bucket_n20.json · research-output/phase1-mini-master/events_clock_a3_bucket_n40.json · research-output/phase1-mini-master/events_clock_a3_bucket_n60.json

multi-family-campaignDocuments: 392026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/multi-family-campaign/CAMPAIGN_MANIFEST.md · research-output/multi-family-campaign/FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/multi-family-campaign/PHASE0_DATA_CAUSALITY_AUDIT.md · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f3.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f3_sens_lookbackLonger.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f3_sens_lookbackShorter.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f3_sens_triggerHigher.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f3_sens_triggerLower.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f3_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f4_or15.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f4_or15_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f4_or30.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f4_or30_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f4_or5.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f4_or5_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f5.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f5_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f6.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f6_sens_lookbackLonger.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f6_sens_lookbackShorter.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f6_sens_thresholdHigher.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f6_sens_thresholdLower.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f6_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f7.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f7_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f9.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f9_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/family8_data_audit.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/phase1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/phase1_funnel_summary_validation.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/portfolio_overlap_f3_f6.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/sensitivity_results.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage1_results.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage1_results_validation.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage2_exits.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage2_mechanism_f3.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage2_mechanism_f6.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage2_robustness_f3.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage2_robustness_f6.txt

f6-exit-variant-studyDocuments: 82026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/MANIFEST.md · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/MANIFEST_ROUND2.md · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/RESULTS.md · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/RESULTS_ROUND2.md · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/f6_exit_variant_events.json · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/f6_exit_variant_round2_events.json · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/f6_trailing_stop_events.json · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/variant_registry.json

family10-campaignDocuments: 62026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/family10-campaign/CAMPAIGN_MANIFEST.md · research-output/family10-campaign/FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/family10-campaign/events_f10.json · research-output/family10-campaign/failed_candidates_f10.json · research-output/family10-campaign/phase2_funnel_summary_f10.txt · research-output/family10-campaign/stage1_results.txt

forward-validation-campaignDocuments: 22026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/forward-validation-campaign/MANIFEST.md · research-output/forward-validation-campaign/f6_forward_validation_report.txt

liquidity-sweep-reclaimDocuments: 122026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/CAMPAIGN_MANIFEST.md · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/PHASE0_DATA_CAUSALITY_AUDIT.md · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events_sens_accept15m.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events_sens_horizon180.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events_sens_horizon300.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events_sens_lookback10.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events_sens_lookback20.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events_validation_chunk1.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/phase2_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/phase3to7_results.txt

discovery-gauntlet-v2Documents: 552026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/CAMPAIGN_MANIFEST.md · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_extvsopen_3x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_extvsopen_4x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_extvsopen_5x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_finalhourrev_0_85thresh.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_finalhourrev_0_8thresh.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_finalhourrev_0_9thresh.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_impulseexh_3bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_impulseexh_4bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_impulseexh_5bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_lunchrangebrk.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_momentum_1_5x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_momentum_2_5x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_momentum_2x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_openingdrive_2x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_openingdrive_3x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_openingdrive_4x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_overnightrange.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_priordaylevels.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_rangerotation_20bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_rangerotation_30bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_rangerotation_45bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_rejectionbar_1_5atr.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_rejectionbar_1atr.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_rejectionbar_2atr.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_volcompr_0_5ratio.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_volcompr_0_6ratio.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_volcompr_0_7ratio.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_vwapdev_1_5sd.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_vwapdev_2_5sd.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_vwapdev_2sd.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_vwapreclaim_1bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_vwapreclaim_3bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_vwapreclaim_5bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_zscorerev_2_5z.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_zscorerev_2z.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_zscorerev_3z.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/extvsopen_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/family10_vwapdev_STAGE1_RESULTS.md · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/family10_vwapdev_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/finalhourrev_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/impulseexh_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/lunchrangebrk_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/momentum_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/openingdrive_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/overnightrange_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/priordaylevels_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/rangerotation_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/rejectionbar_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/research_split_manifest.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/strategy_registry.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/variant_registry.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/volcompression_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/vwapreclaim_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/zscorerev_stage1_funnel_summary.txt

av2-planningDocuments: 22026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/av2-planning/AV2_1_PREREGISTRATION.md · research-output/av2-planning/AV2_RESEARCH_BACKLOG.md

breakout-acceptance-continuationDocuments: 212026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/CAMPAIGN_MANIFEST.md · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/PHASE0_DATA_CAUSALITY_AUDIT.md · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a0.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a0_sens_bhorizon180.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a0_sens_rhorizon300.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a0_validation.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a1.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a1_validation.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a2.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a2_validation.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase10to12_armA_fixed2r.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase10to12_armC_fixed3r.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase2_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase2_funnel_summary_sens_bhorizon180.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase2_funnel_summary_sens_rhorizon300.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase2_funnel_summary_validation.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase5to9_results_a0.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase5to9_results_a0_sens_bhorizon180.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase5to9_results_a0_sens_rhorizon300.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase5to9_results_a0_validation.txt

Phase findings

1 indexed

Phase findings and campaign status documentsDocuments: 62026-09-18 08:24Z

Per-phase findings from the Regime-Robustness campaign and the status documents that record each lane's position.

docs/CAMPAIGN_STATUS.md · docs/PHASE_D_FINDINGS.md · docs/PHASE_F_FINDINGS.md · docs/PHASE_G_FINDINGS.md · docs/PHASE_H_FINDINGS.md · docs/PHASE_J_FINDINGS.md

Governance & canonical plans

2 indexed

Governance and canonical plansDocuments: 62026-09-18 08:24Z

The documents every gate, phase and compartment on this site is read from.

docs/TRADE_RESEARCH_ROADMAP.md · docs/TRADE_REP_MASTER_PLAN_REBOOT.md · docs/status/TRADE_REP_MASTER_TRACKER.json · research-output/av2-planning/AV2_RESEARCH_BACKLOG.md · research-output/av2-planning/AV2_1_PREREGISTRATION.md · research-output/registry/README.md

Machine-readable campaign status filesFiles: 12026-09-18 08:24Z

Controller state per campaign lane. A controller state is a declared position, never a running process — see the Monitor.

docs/status/TRADE_REP_MASTER_TRACKER.json

Event typeAll 194 Experiment registered 71 Campaign opened 6 Campaign closed 6 Holdout authorised 4 Holdout slice assigned 4 Holdout result 4 Milestone 28 Hypothesis tested 41 Authorisation 4 Protected decision 17 Blocker resolved 9

Authorisation

4 of 4 shown, newest first

AuthorisationStanding authorisation granted by AJ2026-09-14

The comprehensive PB-context campaign is closed and must not be reopened. Proceed with the previously authorized Independent Strategy Family #1 campaign: Liquidity Sweep -> Failed Breakout / Reclaim, including the full pre-registered research process (research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/CAMPAIGN_MANIFEST.md + PHASE0_DATA_CAUSALITY_AUDIT.md, Phases 0-8) and parallel research-only prospective logging (manifest Sec…

research-output/campaign-state.json

AuthorisationStanding authorisation granted by AJ2026-09-13

Phase D (and by extension E, per the roadmap's own parallel-track design) may proceed without a scoping check-in first. Verbatim: "after D tho i dont want you asking me, just go and automate it cause its gonna be night soon and im gonna be going to bed so i jus want you to run shit while im knocked yk? i wanna wake up to hella work being done." — This narrows (does not replace) Part 0's existing autonomy boundaries:…

research-output/campaign-state.json

AuthorisationStanding authorisation granted by AJ2026-09-13

Extended the same day: do not stop at the end of Phase D or E and wait -- keep flowing continuously through F (interaction research), G (cheap chronological experiment runner), H (walk-forward validation/drift), I (ML quality model), J (adaptive selectivity architecture, shadow-only), each once the prior phase has produced real findings to build on, without a check-in at each phase boundary. Verbatim: "ut the point…

research-output/campaign-state.json

AuthorisationStanding authorisation granted by AJ2026-09-13

SUPERSEDES the two continuous-progress authorizations above for the strategy-development track specifically (does not revoke this ledger's documentation/monitoring duties). Explicit instruction: 'Keep V1 unchanged and V2 frozen in live-shadow mode. Do not resume historical feature discovery, sizing optimization, or architecture changes. Allow genuinely new observations to accumulate naturally... Otherwise remain fro…

research-output/campaign-state.json

Read from research-output/ · docs/ · research-output/strategy-lab/experiment_registry.json · research-output/campaign-state.json