Research History

Research History

Every committed research program and every dated research event. This page enumerates the artifact tree rather than a curated list, so a campaign cannot become unreachable once attention moves on — and rejected work is as visible as surviving work, because the multiple-testing burden is counted per registered test.

DashboardStrategiesNew Additions (components, not events)

Programs indexed
26
Strategy Lab campaigns
6
Strategy Factory campaigns
0
Other output programs
17
Dated events
194
Newest event
2026-09-17 02:54Z
No Strategy Factory campaign artifacts in this checkout — the A6+ campaigns are produced by the multi-market research lane and will be indexed here automatically once their artifacts are present.

Strategy Lab campaigns

6 indexed
Strategy Lab campaign A5Submitted: 19Rejected: 19Holdout opened: 0Data: MNQ 2022-06-03..2026-09-152026-09-17 02:54Z

19 pre-registered strategies, 0 Phase B candidate(s). Campaign CLOSED.

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a5/campaign_state.json

Strategy Lab campaign A3Submitted: 10Rejected: 9Holdout opened: 2Data: MNQ 2022-06-03..2026-09-152026-09-16 17:14Z

10 pre-registered strategies, 0 Phase B candidate(s). Campaign CLOSED.

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a3/campaign_state.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a3/A3_3_HOLDOUT_LEDGER.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a3/A3_3_HOLDOUT_RESULT_REPORT.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a3/A3_8_HOLDOUT_LEDGER.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a3/A3_8_HOLDOUT_RESULT_REPORT.json

Strategy Lab campaign A4Submitted: 5Rejected: 5Holdout opened: 0Data: MNQ 2022-06-03..2026-09-152026-09-16 14:02Z

5 pre-registered strategies, 0 Phase B candidate(s). Campaign CLOSED.

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a4/campaign_state.json

Strategy Lab campaign A2Submitted: 10Rejected: 9Holdout opened: 1Data: MNQ 2022-06-03..2026-09-152026-09-16 02:40Z

10 pre-registered strategies, 0 Phase B candidate(s). Campaign CLOSED.

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a2/campaign_state.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a2/A2_10_FROZEN_SPEC.md · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a2/A2_10_HOLDOUT_LEDGER.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a2/A2_10_HOLDOUT_RESULT_REPORT.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a2/A2_10_SHADOW_VALIDATION_REPORT.json

Strategy Lab campaign A1Submitted: 10Rejected: 4Holdout opened: 1Data: MNQ 2022-06-03..2026-09-152026-09-15 23:57Z

10 pre-registered strategies, 0 Phase B candidate(s). Campaign CLOSED.

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a1/campaign_state.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a1/A12_HOLDOUT_LEDGER.json · research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a1/A12_HOLDOUT_RESULT_REPORT.json

Strategy Lab campaign A0Submitted: 5Rejected: 5Holdout opened: 0Data: MNQ 2022-06-03..2026-09-152026-09-15 17:55Z

5 pre-registered strategies, 0 Phase B candidate(s). Campaign CLOSED.

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a0/campaign_state.json

Research output programs

17 indexed
validation-campaignDocuments: 12026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/validation-campaign/session-manifest.json

phase2-mini-masterDocuments: 92026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/phase2-mini-master/ARM_C_CLASSIFICATION.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/F6_500_TRADE_GATE_AUDIT.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/HOLDOUT_PREREGISTRATION_F6_TRAIL0P5R_VS_FIXED2R.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/HOLDOUT_RESULTS_F6_TRAIL0P5R_VS_FIXED2R.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/OVERNIGHT_RANGE_CLASSIFICATION.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/PB_ELITE_CLASSIFICATION.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/PHASE2_FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/phase2-mini-master/PHASE2_STRATEGY_REGISTRY.json · research-output/phase2-mini-master/pbelite_validation_check_raw_output.txt

phase3-mini-masterDocuments: 52026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/phase3-mini-master/PHASE3_ALLOCATOR_SPEC.md · research-output/phase3-mini-master/PHASE3_FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/phase3-mini-master/PHASE3_PORTFOLIO_CONFIG.json · research-output/phase3-mini-master/PHASE3_PORTFOLIO_RESULTS.json · research-output/phase3-mini-master/PHASE3_RISK_RESEARCH.md

phase4-mini-masterDocuments: 82026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_CAUSAL_AUDIT.md · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_FAILURE_INJECTION_RESULTS.json · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_FRESHNESS_SPEC.md · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_PREREGISTRATION.md · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_REMEDIATION_REPORT.md · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_REPLAY_LEDGER.json · research-output/phase4-mini-master/PHASE4_STATE_MACHINE.md

phase5-live-shadowDocuments: 52026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/phase5-live-shadow/PHASE5_CHECKPOINTS.md · research-output/phase5-live-shadow/PHASE5_EXECUTION_TRACKING.md · research-output/phase5-live-shadow/PHASE5_LIVE_SHADOW_LEDGER.md · research-output/phase5-live-shadow/PHASE5_OPERATIONAL_HEALTH.md · research-output/phase5-live-shadow/PHASE5_STATUS.md

next105-campaignDocuments: 12026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/next105-campaign/session-manifest.json

oos21Documents: 12026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/oos21/session-manifest.json

pb-comprehensive-campaignDocuments: 42026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/pb-comprehensive-campaign/FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/pb-comprehensive-campaign/phase11_results.txt · research-output/pb-comprehensive-campaign/phase1to4_results.txt · research-output/pb-comprehensive-campaign/phase5to9_results.txt

phase1-mini-masterDocuments: 62026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/phase1-mini-master/MANIFEST_PHASE1_MINI_MASTER.md · research-output/phase1-mini-master/events_clock_a1_openclose.json · research-output/phase1-mini-master/events_clock_a2_rthmom.json · research-output/phase1-mini-master/events_clock_a3_bucket_n20.json · research-output/phase1-mini-master/events_clock_a3_bucket_n40.json · research-output/phase1-mini-master/events_clock_a3_bucket_n60.json

multi-family-campaignDocuments: 392026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/multi-family-campaign/CAMPAIGN_MANIFEST.md · research-output/multi-family-campaign/FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/multi-family-campaign/PHASE0_DATA_CAUSALITY_AUDIT.md · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f3.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f3_sens_lookbackLonger.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f3_sens_lookbackShorter.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f3_sens_triggerHigher.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f3_sens_triggerLower.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f3_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f4_or15.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f4_or15_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f4_or30.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f4_or30_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f4_or5.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f4_or5_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f5.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f5_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f6.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f6_sens_lookbackLonger.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f6_sens_lookbackShorter.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f6_sens_thresholdHigher.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f6_sens_thresholdLower.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f6_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f7.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f7_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f9.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/events_f9_validation.json · research-output/multi-family-campaign/family8_data_audit.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/phase1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/phase1_funnel_summary_validation.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/portfolio_overlap_f3_f6.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/sensitivity_results.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage1_results.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage1_results_validation.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage2_exits.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage2_mechanism_f3.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage2_mechanism_f6.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage2_robustness_f3.txt · research-output/multi-family-campaign/stage2_robustness_f6.txt

f6-exit-variant-studyDocuments: 82026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/MANIFEST.md · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/MANIFEST_ROUND2.md · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/RESULTS.md · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/RESULTS_ROUND2.md · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/f6_exit_variant_events.json · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/f6_exit_variant_round2_events.json · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/f6_trailing_stop_events.json · research-output/f6-exit-variant-study/variant_registry.json

family10-campaignDocuments: 62026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/family10-campaign/CAMPAIGN_MANIFEST.md · research-output/family10-campaign/FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/family10-campaign/events_f10.json · research-output/family10-campaign/failed_candidates_f10.json · research-output/family10-campaign/phase2_funnel_summary_f10.txt · research-output/family10-campaign/stage1_results.txt

forward-validation-campaignDocuments: 22026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/forward-validation-campaign/MANIFEST.md · research-output/forward-validation-campaign/f6_forward_validation_report.txt

liquidity-sweep-reclaimDocuments: 122026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/CAMPAIGN_MANIFEST.md · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/PHASE0_DATA_CAUSALITY_AUDIT.md · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events_sens_accept15m.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events_sens_horizon180.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events_sens_horizon300.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events_sens_lookback10.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events_sens_lookback20.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/events_validation_chunk1.json · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/phase2_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/liquidity-sweep-reclaim/phase3to7_results.txt

discovery-gauntlet-v2Documents: 552026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/CAMPAIGN_MANIFEST.md · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_extvsopen_3x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_extvsopen_4x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_extvsopen_5x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_finalhourrev_0_85thresh.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_finalhourrev_0_8thresh.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_finalhourrev_0_9thresh.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_impulseexh_3bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_impulseexh_4bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_impulseexh_5bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_lunchrangebrk.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_momentum_1_5x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_momentum_2_5x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_momentum_2x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_openingdrive_2x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_openingdrive_3x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_openingdrive_4x.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_overnightrange.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_priordaylevels.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_rangerotation_20bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_rangerotation_30bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_rangerotation_45bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_rejectionbar_1_5atr.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_rejectionbar_1atr.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_rejectionbar_2atr.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_volcompr_0_5ratio.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_volcompr_0_6ratio.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_volcompr_0_7ratio.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_vwapdev_1_5sd.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_vwapdev_2_5sd.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_vwapdev_2sd.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_vwapreclaim_1bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_vwapreclaim_3bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_vwapreclaim_5bar.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_zscorerev_2_5z.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_zscorerev_2z.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/events_zscorerev_3z.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/extvsopen_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/family10_vwapdev_STAGE1_RESULTS.md · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/family10_vwapdev_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/finalhourrev_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/impulseexh_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/lunchrangebrk_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/momentum_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/openingdrive_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/overnightrange_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/priordaylevels_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/rangerotation_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/rejectionbar_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/research_split_manifest.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/strategy_registry.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/variant_registry.json · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/volcompression_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/vwapreclaim_stage1_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/discovery-gauntlet-v2/zscorerev_stage1_funnel_summary.txt

av2-planningDocuments: 22026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/av2-planning/AV2_1_PREREGISTRATION.md · research-output/av2-planning/AV2_RESEARCH_BACKLOG.md

breakout-acceptance-continuationDocuments: 212026-09-18 08:24Z

research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/CAMPAIGN_MANIFEST.md · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/FINAL_REPORT.md · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/PHASE0_DATA_CAUSALITY_AUDIT.md · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a0.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a0_sens_bhorizon180.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a0_sens_rhorizon300.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a0_validation.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a1.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a1_validation.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a2.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/events_a2_validation.json · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase10to12_armA_fixed2r.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase10to12_armC_fixed3r.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase2_funnel_summary.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase2_funnel_summary_sens_bhorizon180.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase2_funnel_summary_sens_rhorizon300.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase2_funnel_summary_validation.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase5to9_results_a0.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase5to9_results_a0_sens_bhorizon180.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase5to9_results_a0_sens_rhorizon300.txt · research-output/breakout-acceptance-continuation/phase5to9_results_a0_validation.txt

Phase findings

1 indexed
Phase findings and campaign status documentsDocuments: 62026-09-18 08:24Z

Per-phase findings from the Regime-Robustness campaign and the status documents that record each lane's position.

docs/CAMPAIGN_STATUS.md · docs/PHASE_D_FINDINGS.md · docs/PHASE_F_FINDINGS.md · docs/PHASE_G_FINDINGS.md · docs/PHASE_H_FINDINGS.md · docs/PHASE_J_FINDINGS.md

Governance & canonical plans

2 indexed
Governance and canonical plansDocuments: 62026-09-18 08:24Z

The documents every gate, phase and compartment on this site is read from.

docs/TRADE_RESEARCH_ROADMAP.md · docs/TRADE_REP_MASTER_PLAN_REBOOT.md · docs/status/TRADE_REP_MASTER_TRACKER.json · research-output/av2-planning/AV2_RESEARCH_BACKLOG.md · research-output/av2-planning/AV2_1_PREREGISTRATION.md · research-output/registry/README.md

Machine-readable campaign status filesFiles: 12026-09-18 08:24Z

Controller state per campaign lane. A controller state is a declared position, never a running process — see the Monitor.

docs/status/TRADE_REP_MASTER_TRACKER.json

Holdout authorised

4 of 4 shown, newest first
Holdout authorisedOne-shot sealed Holdout authorised for a3-failed-expansion-continuationrecord →2026-09-16 17:14Z

AJ <meatham07@gmail.com> -- explicit chat authorization ('AJ explicitly authorizes a one-shot sealed Holdout for A3.8 using the next deterministic untouched chronological Holdout slice after all previously consumed Holdout data, with no block shopping, no retry, no tuning, no rule changes'), trade-count-based deterministic Holdout consumption policy, 2026-09-16

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a3/campaign_state.json

Holdout authorisedOne-shot sealed Holdout authorised for a3-volume-acceleration-momentumrecord →2026-09-16 15:33Z

AJ <meatham07@gmail.com> -- explicit chat authorization ('AJ explicitly authorizes the one-shot sealed Holdout for A3.3 Volume Acceleration Momentum / a3-v1 now'), trade-count-based deterministic Holdout consumption policy, 2026-09-16

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a3/campaign_state.json

Holdout authorisedOne-shot sealed Holdout authorised for a2-final-hour-reversion-v2record →2026-09-16 02:39Z

AJ <meatham07@gmail.com> -- explicit chat authorization ('AJ APPROVAL -- A2.10 UNTOUCHED HOLDOUT'), trade-count-based deterministic Holdout consumption policy, 2026-09-16

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a2/campaign_state.json

Holdout authorisedOne-shot sealed Holdout authorised for a1-efficiency-ratio-momentumrecord →2026-09-15 23:40Z

AJ <meatham07@gmail.com> -- explicit chat authorization, trade-count-based deterministic Holdout consumption policy, 2026-09-15

research-output/strategy-lab/campaigns/a1/campaign_state.json

Read from research-output/ · docs/ · research-output/strategy-lab/experiment_registry.json · research-output/campaign-state.json